Check out Ben Jacobs’s piece at The Guardian. The evangelical political activists he talked with seem to think that evangelicals are still solidly behind Trump.
These activists may be correct. Trump has done nothing to change the minds of the evangelicals who voted for him in 2016. In fact, he has delivered for them in a big way. These evangelicals, remember, also pulled the lever for Roy Moore in Alabama and seemed to be un-phased by the Stormy Daniels affair.
This, of course, does not mean GOP candidates will have it easy in House and Senate races. Remember, Trump lost the popular vote by 3 million votes.
Here is a taste of Jacobs’s piece:
According to exit polls, 80% of white evangelicals backed Trump, a margin greater than for past Republican nominees. Bob Vander Plaats, an Iowa-based evangelical activist and chief executive of the Family Leader, told the Guardian: “The reasons evangelical voters responded to Trump was a) because he was running against Hillary Clinton and b) there was a supreme court vacancy.”
Because of those factors, Vander Plaats said, there “was the intensity and urgency to make sure that Trump was voted in, so they did that”.
Clinton is not on the ballot in 2018 and Neil Gorsuch has filled the seat vacated by Antonin Scalia. Accordingly, though polls have shown steadyevangelical support for Trump, such voters have been far less motivated to actually turn out and show it.
Citing Senate races in West Virginia and Indiana in particular, Chris Wilson, a top Republican pollster, said evangelical turnout had picked up in recent primaries. Trump has taken steps popular among evangelicals in recent weeks, he noted, including pulling out of the Iran deal, moving the US embassy in Israel to Jerusalem and ending all taxpayer funding for clinics that provide abortion.
Read the entire piece here.